Connect with us

David Brown

Sales Declined Last Month — But Where Did the Money Go?

Your competition is not just other jewelers.

mm

Published

on

July monthly sales data from our store comparisons has shown a decline in sales activity for the month compared to last year with a corresponding drop in our rolling 12-month sales also being evident.

Twelve-month year-on-year data for July was down 0.49 percent on June’s result with total sales of $1,589,470, down from June’s average store sales figure of $1,597,325. This represents the sixth straight month our rolling 12-month sales figure has declined, with this period having shown a total decline of 2.5 percent over the period in question. This would annualize to a sales drop of 5 percent for the year should the trend continue.

This represents the first six-month period of decline since April to October 2016, when the rolling 12-month sales showed a drop of 2.9 percent.

 

Monthly Percentage Change in Sales – YTD Sales Data

The trend line above shows that the monthly change in sales percentage has been running much closer to zero over the last two to three years following the initial heavy declines during the recession and strong growth coming out of it. That’s indicating that increases have been modest and declines haven’t been major when they have happened. What will be interesting to see, however, is next month’s result. A decline will be the seventh straight month that year-on-year sales dropped, and that is a figure we haven’t seen since the recession. Whether it is an indicator of a sustained period of sales decline will be the question.

Advertisement

A quick comparison of monthly sales for July shows where the trend is coming from.

As the numbers show, July monthly sales saw a drop of just under $8,000 from $107,397 to $99,542. Unit sales were down 13.2 percent on last year’s number of items sold, with average retail sale increasing by 1.37 percent to partially offset the drop. Margins held firm at 45 percent, with gross profit dropping from $48,477 to $44,750, a fall of 7.68 percent.

So where is the decline coming from? Overall diamond sales continue to be healthy, with the fall coming across other departments, particularly silver, but this will vary on a store-by-store basis. It’s important to analyze your own numbers and see how they compare to this trend.

Grab a YTD report by department for this year versus the same time last year. How do you compare in sales over the two periods? If your sales are down, which areas are dropping? Is it diamonds? Colored stones? Gold or silver? How about watches? It’s important to isolate the problem area in order to take action.

Once you’ve determined the area that needs addressing, you need to delve further. Are you losing sales volume, or is there a drop in the average value being sold? If it’s sales volume, then you will be mirroring the trend across our same store-data. This raises questions: Are these people no longer buying, or are they buying elsewhere? Have they substituted the product that has declined in sales with other jewelry products. Other products altogether? Or are they not buying at all? The economic data seems to indicate that customers are still spending, so where is their money being spent if not on jewelry?

Advertisement

It’s important to understand that your competition is not just other jewelers, but anywhere else your customers can choose to spend their money. There has been a trend toward spending money on experiences over material items in recent years, particularly among millennials, and thanks to social media it’s not hard to see why. Before the internet, many would buy products as a means of displaying their wealth or uniqueness to others. Now they can enjoy an experience (a fancy restaurant, an overseas trip) and post it to their Instagram or Facebook as a means of demonstrating their success and to garner the admiration of their friends.

The successful jeweler of the future will recognize this and ensure that shopping becomes more than just a material purchase, but an experience in itself. Packaging the buying of jewelry into an overall experience just might be a way to establish a point of difference and claw back some of the money that has moved into other areas.

David Brown is president of the Edge Retail Academy, a force in jewelry industry business consulting, sell-through data and vendor solutions. David and his team are dedicated to providing business owners with information and strategies to improve sales and profits. Reach him at david@edgeretailacademy.com

Advertisement

VIDEO HIGHLIGHT

Wilkerson Testimonials

New York Jeweler Picks Wilkerson for Their GOB Sale

Jan Rose of Rose Jewelers, located in Long Island's famous Hamptons beach district, explains how she chose Wilkerson for her closing sale. Jan's suggestions: reach out to jewelers who have been in similar situations to find out what worked for them, and look for a company with experience in going-out-of-business sales. Once you've done that, the final step is to move ahead and trust the process.

Promoted Headlines

Want more INSTORE? Subscribe to our newsletter.

Comment

David Brown

How Eating Right Is Like Managing Your Inventory

The right items and advance planning can make your business fit.

mm

Published

on

KEEPING YOUR INVENTORY in order is a little like painting the Eiffel Tower … you no sooner get to one end than you feel you have to repeat the process all over again!

Inventory is a dynamic part of your business. It is constantly in flux, and as such, difficult to manage. However, having a good system will go a long way toward helping you keep your inventory under control.

Video: Gene the Jeweler Thought He’d Heard It All … Until This Tardy Employee Told His Story
Gene the Jeweler

Video: Gene the Jeweler Thought He’d Heard It All … Until This Tardy Employee Told His Story

Video: Take Advantage of These Tools to Improve Your Digital Marketing
Jim Ackerman

Video: Take Advantage of These Tools to Improve Your Digital Marketing

Video: Gene the Jeweler Sells a Diamond — and Gets Back a CZ
Gene the Jeweler

Video: Gene the Jeweler Sells a Diamond — and Gets Back a CZ

There are two aspects to your inventory: what you buy and what you keep. It’s the buying part that contributes most to what is left after the customers don’t want it, so let’s start with that first.

Food dieting consists of what you eat and how much of it you consume. Buying inventory is the same. There is what you buy, and then there is how much you are spending. If your diet consists of eating healthy greens, vegetables and fresh fruits, then part of your food diet will take care of itself. The same is true of ordering fast sellers — make these the mainstay of your inventory diet, and you will take care of a good 70-80 percent of the inventory you will need to consume. That leaves the remainder — the combination of poor choices and overconsumption that can cause the most problems (I’m still talking inventory here!).

In the same way that meal planning can reduce overeating or making poor food choices, planning your purchasing will work the same way. We recommend an open-to-buy budget as the most effective way to do this. An open-to-buy will balance what you are selling with what you are buying. Think of it like a calorie checker that enables you to eat once you have burned enough fat. The open-to-buy will track the money released from outgoing inventory that is then freed up to spend on new product and let you know how much this is so you don’t over-buy. This will help you to keep your inventory situation from becoming any more bloated.

So what about the surplus inventory that is aged and isn’t going anywhere now? This is the same as the few extra pounds that might be sitting around your hips — it’s one thing to stop the increase, but it’s another thing entirely to get rid of that unwanted fat.

Much like systemizing your buying with an open-to-buy program, you can systemize the aged inventory with a series of means to move it on. This can consist of a variety of options that work well for you on a regular basis to keep that aged inventory from clogging up your store arteries. I’ll talk more about these options in the next article.

Continue Reading

David Brown

6 Solutions to Short-Term Cash Flow Problems

Problems can arise if you aren’t vigilant about how your receipts and payments are tracking.

mm

Published

on

MANAGING CASH FLOW can be an urgent issue for any business. Problems can arise if you aren’t vigilant to how your receipts and payments are tracking. Sometimes, you need a solution that can give you quick and easy cash to keep you going. Here are some of the best options you should consider.

1. Get short-term financing. If you feel the situation can’t be resolved without external help, then short-term financing, such as a line of credit, can see you through. It has the added advantage of being able to be repaid when the funds are no longer needed, keeping costs to a minimum.

Video: Gene the Jeweler Thought He’d Heard It All … Until This Tardy Employee Told His Story
Gene the Jeweler

Video: Gene the Jeweler Thought He’d Heard It All … Until This Tardy Employee Told His Story

Video: Take Advantage of These Tools to Improve Your Digital Marketing
Jim Ackerman

Video: Take Advantage of These Tools to Improve Your Digital Marketing

Video: Gene the Jeweler Sells a Diamond — and Gets Back a CZ
Gene the Jeweler

Video: Gene the Jeweler Sells a Diamond — and Gets Back a CZ

2. Long-term financing. This can be a longer process and will generally involve putting up assets as security for a more permanent arrangement. Although this may result in a larger sum of funding, be careful: your assets and debt should match in terms of time frame. Using long-term debt for short-term cash flow needs can be a recipe for disaster (as can short-term debt for long-term asset purchasing). Long-term debt should be used primarily to purchase assets that provide long-term returns to the business, not as a means of “tiding you over” until things get better. You need cash flow every day, but you only have so many assets you can draw against.

3. Speed up recovery of receivables. Although retail is normally a cash business, there may be some areas in which you run an account (e.g., insurance companies) or other parties with whom you have a good relationship. In these circumstances, it’s important to manage the repayment process. A discount can be an effective incentive for this.

4. Get a larger deposit. Your customers are often your best means of short-term funding. Increasing your deposit on custom jobs from 20 percent to 50 percent can add several thousand dollars permanently to your bank float.

5. Manage your repairs. Follow up consistently with repairs that aren’t collected. This is dead money sitting that is easily forgotten about because the items don’t belong to the store. You have an investment in those items you need to recoup.

6. Sell surplus assets. Inventory is often the first choice for doing this, but is there other equipment or assets you no longer need? If you’ve ever run a garage sale, you’ll know how much cash you can round up from extra stuff you have — the same may be true of business assets such as old desks, tools and display cabinets you no longer use. Don’t assume they are worthless just because you will recoup much less than what you paid for them.

Continue Reading

David Brown

4 Ideas to Liquidate Your Extra Post-Holiday Inventory

Extra inventory left over from December could hurt your 2019 sales.

mm

Published

on

THE BUSY DECEMBER SEASON is now behind you — it’s time to relax a little and recover from the most hectic time of the year … or is it?
The start of a new financial year can still carry something of a hangover from the December festivities you’ve just enjoyed, and foremost in this is the issue of your surplus inventory.

Video: Gene the Jeweler Thought He’d Heard It All … Until This Tardy Employee Told His Story
Gene the Jeweler

Video: Gene the Jeweler Thought He’d Heard It All … Until This Tardy Employee Told His Story

Video: Take Advantage of These Tools to Improve Your Digital Marketing
Jim Ackerman

Video: Take Advantage of These Tools to Improve Your Digital Marketing

Video: Gene the Jeweler Sells a Diamond — and Gets Back a CZ
Gene the Jeweler

Video: Gene the Jeweler Sells a Diamond — and Gets Back a CZ

Unfortunately, this product can be a blockage to your ability to refresh with new purchases as it ties up cash flow that can be reinvested. Here are a few steps to follow in order to keep these items moving:

1. Determine how much of it there is. You can do this in two ways. First, print a stock list of items that you have more than one of. Second, print a stock list of all items over 6-9 months old. These two reports will show you the total dollar value of what is blocking your reorders.

2. Complete a physical stock take. Are these reports correct? Chances are that during the busy December period, there have been some errors in inputting, so you need to reconcile the value of the report with what you have on hand. In particular, check spare drawers for double-ups of your fast sellers.

3. Determine how you will liquidate this product. Is it time for a storewide sale? Can you offer a selection of these items in a “specials” showcase? What about your mailing list — could you make an offer to your best customers of an exclusive January deal on some of these items? Could you incentivize staff to move it on? There are a myriad of ways to promote shifting these items to your customers.

4. Don’t forget vendors and other store owners. Check with vendors in case they may want to replenish their own inventory. Often, they may be closed for manufacturing or receiving their overseas shipments during the early January window and may be happy to take back some items to fulfill other orders. Also, many of your fellow group members may be looking to re-stock some of these items, especially if they were part of a group promotion. Why not be their vendor for your own surplus product?

Fortunately, jewelry isn’t perishable, and you still have many opportunities to sell these items, but don’t allow them to sit around unattended. It can take a conscious effort to move these slower items on, so the sooner you start, the sooner you can get this money back into the bank.

Continue Reading

Most Popular